Intelligence Reliability

We use the admiralty scale where possible to score information:

1 (Confirmed)2 (Probably True)3 (Possibly True)4 (Doubtfully True)5 (Improbable)6 (Cannot be Judged)
A (Completely Reliable)A1A2A3A4A5A6
B (Usually Reliable)B1B2B3B4B5B6
C (Fairly Reliable)C1C2C3C4C5C6
D (Not Usually Reliable)D1D2D3D4D5D6
E (Unreliable)E1E2E3E4E5E6
F (Cannot be Judged)F1F2F3F4F5F6


Reliability of Source:

  • A: Completely reliable. The source has a history of complete accuracy.
  • B: Usually reliable. The source has a history of mostly accurate information, with few errors.
  • C: Fairly reliable. The source has a history of being about as accurate as not.
  • D: Not usually reliable. The source has a history of more inaccurate than accurate information.
  • E: Unreliable. The source is known to provide inaccurate information.
  • F: Reliability cannot be judged. There is not enough information to assess the reliability of the source.

Credibility of Information:

  • 1: Confirmed by other sources. The information is confirmed by other independent and reliable sources.
  • 2: Probably true. The information is not confirmed, but is likely to be true.
  • 3: Possibly true. The information is not confirmed, and its truth is equally likely as its falsehood.
  • 4: Doubtfully true. The information is not confirmed, and is likely to be false.
  • 5: Improbable. The information is not confirmed, and is likely to be false, based on the source’s history or the nature of the information.
  • 6: Truth cannot be judged. There is not enough information to assess the truth of the information.

Further Reading:

https://www.misp-project.org/taxonomies.html#_admiralty_scale

https://www.threat-intelligence.eu/methodologies/#the-admiralty-scale-also-called-the-nato-system